T effect was exactly the same for all but a single study; the magnitude in the treatment impact in these studies was the source of heterogeneity. The Bayesian network meta-analysis integrated all 34 studies. Figure three depicts the network of direct and indirect evidence. As shown in Table four, the results cause related conclusions because the frequentist benefits, as all 95 credible intervals from the difference between duloxetine and active treatment options integrated zero. To explain heterogeneity/inconsistency, we graphically explored the association of relative effect in the active treatment versus placebo with study-level covariates. Forest plots had been generated for each population and study characteristic showing the difference among placebo and therapy of the change from baseline, ordered by the worth of the characteristic (see Added files 1, 2, three, four, 5, six, 7, eight, 9, ten, 11).Buy1-(Quinolin-2-yl)ethanone Figure four will be the forest plot for baseline WOMAC scores. A visual association was indicated in between baseline and alter from baseline scores, using a greater baseline score associated with a larger unfavorable (improved) adjust from baseline. Figure five is really a verifying scatter plot showing the trial-level baselineFigure two Funnel plot of normal error by distinction in imply. Note: o = actual publication; = hypothetical omitted study.Myers et al. BMC Musculoskeletal Issues 2014, 15:76 http://biomedcentral/1471-2474/15/Table four Indirect comparison: final results for WOMAC total score change from baselineDuloxetine Frequentist analysis Number of research Transform from baseline vs.5-Methyl-1H-indazol-4-ol structure placebo, imply 95 CI I2 ( ) Indirect vs.PMID:23935843 Duloxetine 95 CIb Bayesian analysis Quantity of research contributing to every single compoundc Alter from baseline vs. placebo, imply 95 CI Indirect vs. Duloxetinea 95 CIb Probability Duloxetine is Superior Quantity of research contributing to every single compound for adjusted for baseline WOMAC scoree Indirect vs. Duloxetine adjusted for baseline WOMAC scoree 95 CIb Probability Duloxetine is SuperioraIbuprofen two -8.34 [-11.98, -4.71] 0 -1.86 [-6.33, 2.62]Naproxen 7f -8.27 [-10.27, -6.28] 51.92 -1.93 [-4.70, 0.84]Celecoxib 14f -5.78 [-6.86, -4.69] 32.49 0.71 [-2.12, three.53]Etoricoxib five -11.04 [-13.24, -8.84] 0 -4.56 [-7.97, -1.15] 5 -9.53 [-11.86, -7.3] -3.07 [-6.66, 0.49] 0.04 five -0.43 [-3.4, two.57] 0.Tramadol five -3.99 [-6.74, -1.23] 58.03 2.36 [-1.00, five.73]Oxycodone 2 -8.56 [-17.23, 0.11] 71.99 -2.07 [-11.13, six.98]Hydromorphone 2 -2.13 [-5.99, 1.72] 63.54 4.35 [-0.31, 9.01]3 -6.48 [-9.09, -3.88] 44.aNA NA3 -6.47 [-9.27, -3.7] NA NA NA 3 NA NA NA2 -7.85 [-11.59, -4.18] -1.38 [-6.04, three.21] 0.28 two 1.85 [-2.13, 5.9] 0.9 -7.9 [-9.54, -6.27] -1.43 [-4.65, 1.81] 0.19 7 0.24 [-2.36, 2.87] 0.16 -6.2 [-7.46, -5.03] 0.27 [-2.78, three.28] 0.57 14 0.83 [-1.45, 3.14] 0.five -2.89 [-5.41, -0.54] 3.57 [-0.17, 7.19] 0.97 three 4.92 [1.51, eight.34]2 -7.04 [-11.35, -2.95] -0.58 [-5.69, four.32] 0.41 1 -4.67 [-13.24, 4.07] 0.2 -2.19 [-5.52, 1.21] four.28 [-0.01, eight.69] 0.97 1 8.19 [3.84, 12.56]dA good (negative) outcome indicates that the compared treatment is worse (far better) than duloxetine. b If zero will not fall between the upper and lower bounds the null hypothesis (therapies will be the exact same) is rejected. c You can find fewer research within the adjusted analyses. d Random effects model. e Random effects model adjusting for baseline excluding trials with no baseline. f two studies with out placebo arms weren’t integrated inside the frequentist evaluation.Page ten ofMyers et al. BMC Musculoskeletal Issues 2014, 15:76 http://biomedcentral/1471-2474/15/Page.